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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Apple’s iPad - All the Details, What It Means For Us
Mike Curtis | 01/27
Details, Analysis, and why this Apple fan is saying ‘No Thank You’
OK, this one’s a two parter. Part One is just the practical details of what it is, what it costs, what it does. Part Two is what it means for users like us - now and in the future. Overall, I think the Apple iPad is interesting, I think it is useful, it demos damn cool and as of today I don’t expect to buy one, and why you may not want to either. Read on for the details.
Updated a couple of times - come back and read the bottom
Last night I stayed up late and wrote about what I thought of the possible device and some potential shortcomings here - you may want to read that as a backgrounder. I had no backdoor info or leaked anything, just what I found on the usual gadget blogs. So here’s the practical details of what it is:
Some basic links first:
Features-(includes list of apps it comes with)
Design (includes pics of dock, keyboard dock, and carrying case)
App Store-(runs current iPhone apps, 140,000+, as well as new, exclusively iPad fullscreen apps)
Gallery- pics from all sides
Tech Specs - (includes dimensions, weight, etc.)
Pricing
OK, lets get into the meat of it:
What It Is
A pound and a half color touchscreen, capable of full screen video, games, web browsing, etc. Think Really Big iPhone, But Not A Phone. Faster and with better battery life. 1024x768 res 9.7 inch multi-touch color screen, 10 hours of video playback on a single charge, 30 day standby charge. It is similar to the iPhone in that it has a multi-touch screen, an accelerometer (tilt sensor), a compass (for navigation), speakers and a microphone. You can drive a projector on it.
What Isn’t It?
It isn’t a netbook. It isn’t a Mac OS X machine. It isn’t a phone. It doesn’t have a camera, so it isn’t a videophone/videoconferencing device. Some models don’t have 3G, which is a good option to have or have not. It isn’t 4G/LTE for data speeds, meaning it downloads data as fast as an iPhone would (in theory). It isn’t multi-tasking, as far as I can tell from the demos - if it were, they would’ve showed it being so. Not to say it won’t be in a future OS update, but isn’t today. It isn’t a high quality presentation driver - only 1024x768 over VGA with adapter (DVI/DisplayPort not mentioned in tech specs). It isn’t an HDTV driver AFAIK - video out is mentioned as 480p/480i with a composite cable.
What’s It Cost?
It costs $500, $600, or $700 for 16/32/64 GB models, add another $130 for 3G connectivity - so $630, $730, $830. Outstandingly cheap data plans for 3G - $15 for 250GB/month, $30/month for unlimited data - but keep in mind, that is at 3G speeds, not WiFi speeds. AT&T only US provider, but cancellable at any time with early termination fee. Also means no subsidized plans - you buy it unlocked, it is yours, but you pay full price up front. You CAN use it on other networks with a micro SIM card - data plans? Unknown.
Great! When Can I Get One?
60 days for WiFi only models, 90 days for WiFi and 3G models.
What can I do with it/run on it?
Runs “almost all” existing iPhone apps, including games, running iPad specific apps for things like web browsing, email, games, picture & video browsing/viewing, and other iPod capabilities. It’ll do calendaring, To Dos, mapping, etc. iWork has been ported and will be available at launch. It uses a virtual keyboard onscreen, like the iPhones but bigger and more fully featured, and multi-touch capable, of course. There is a new, specfically for iPad touch interface version of iWork that’ll ship for $30 (or $10 per Numbers, Pages, or Keynote). Many more full screen, iPad specific games and apps under development.
What’s it good for?
Web browsing - very nice Mobile Safari implementation - as long as you are in a WiFi hotspot, OR spend an extra $130 plus $15-30/month for the 3G hardware and monthly connection rates. And then, only if you are getting a 3G signal.
Picture and video viewing - can be in local storage, and has very nice touch/flick/pinch/zoom interface - the best photo frame on the market for viewing pics. Watch movies (even buy from iTunes, but only over WiFi) on the device. YouTube also!
Music - headphone jack and speakers (quality of speakers TBD). iTunes Store, buy directly and download directly to device. Overall, it is a big, nice iPod, with a lot of iTunes like controls and access to your content. Nice! Imagine iTunes (the playback and store parts) running on a slate with touch interface - that’s what you’ve got here. DAMN nice.
App Store - buy more apps! Slightly tautological feature, but hey, it is convenient!
iBooks - OK, here’s something new - books in ePub format (DRM almost assuredly there), an open format. there’s an ePub reader. Will there be a Kindle app to read content? Likely, unless Apple blocks it as “confusing” to customers - which I doubt they’d get away with. With the tiltable screen, and 1.5 pound weight, and long battery life if just reading screen content, it’ll be good for ebooks. So who cares? Students - see this - my lifelong friend Charlie saved $130 by getting to use an eBook instead of buying the hard copy. Students buying $500 16GB, no 3G versions and living on that instead of a netbook? Count on it.
Maps - With a 3G model and 3G connection and turn by turn app (surely there’ll be an iPad specific one), this’ll be the nicest GPS ever. Excuse me, EVV-ARRRRR!!!! Question - if you’re on WiFi and plot out a route, will it buffer all the intermediate screens so you can get there? I hope so. Oh, WAIT! Does it even have GPS??? I haven’t seen that mentioned! FLAG!
Notes - better have a real keyboard to use this “for reals.”
Contacts and Calendar - syncs with all the stuff - probably integrates with MobileMe for integrated, anywhere/anytime access
Homescreen - duh, how you get to everything. Looks like it spaces out icons to use available space, rather than living on a fixed grid like iPhone does. Can you get more than one screen’s worth? With 64GB of storage, I’d hope so!
Spotlight - good, you can search everything/everywhere on your iPad. With no directly accessible file system as far as I can tell, you’ll be needing this, even if the other contextual access is really good.
Email - looks really good - some excellent touch integration, and rotating from horizontal to vertical lets a single mail go full screen if you want to focus on it. About writing…
The Keyboard - as compared to the iPhone the good thing is that it is much bigger, and conducive to touch typing. The bad thing is that it is a multi-touch screen, so you have to hover your fingers, rather than resting them on the home row. And since it is so much bigger, you can’t single handedly enter text (hold and type with a single hand to keep the other hand free). Unless you want to hunt and peck while holding with the other hand, you have to put it on something to type. The carrying case (optional) can tilt it up for typing or comfortable on table viewing (but not both at same time). The optional dock, or better yet the optional keyboard dock is the way to go. Does the optional dock have a USB port to plug in a regular keyboard? Doubt it.
What This Means for People Like You And Me
OK - so here it is. It is definitely more than an iPhone, without actually being a phone. Or a camera. Or a definitive data connection via 3G (since 3G is optional in hardware, and a separate month to month payment to AT&T for data services….or another provider). It is less than a laptop - doesn’t include a real keyboard, a fully featured OS, an accessible file system, etc. (and can you even just copy generic files to it? I don’t think so, since syncs with iTunes - has to be a blessed format that syncs like MP3, H.264, AAC, JPEG, etc., or emailed to it).
It is definitely the inbetween device, as Jobs pointed out - not an app phone, not a laptop.
So who is it good for?
It looks to be a good entertainment device - hang one on the back seat for the kids and let’em go with movies, music, and games. It looks like it’ll be a blessing for anyone who wants a serious touch app, or an app with more space. Maps and navigation will rock on this. It looks to be a killer media browser- pictures and nearly HD res video. It is a communicator (email, and undoubtedly chat apps when connected), and a pretty good web browser, if you’re OK with the 1024x768 res and no real keyboard (the zooming does ameliorate the resolution limitations, fortunately).
But you can’t run OS X or Windows apps on it. You can’t access the file system, and anything you want to look at better be in the specific formats supported - AAC, MP3, H.264, MP4, JPEG, and for mail attachments,” .jpg, .tiff, .gif (images); .doc and .docx (Microsoft Word); .htm and .html (web pages); .key (Keynote); .numbers (Numbers); .pages (Pages); .pdf (Preview and Adobe Acrobat); .ppt and .pptx (Microsoft PowerPoint); .txt (text); .rtf (rich text format); .vcf (contact information); .xls and .xlsx (Microsoft Excel).”
So it is DEFINITELY in the middle. So again, who is it good for? For 80% of laptop users, 80% of the time, this will probably be Good Enough - that in itself is a business model, definitely. For your Mom or Dad, this is pretty good. But they better have another computer if they want to sync photos and videos, otherwise they are stuck with what they can get from iTunes. So no loading their own pictures and video and their own MP3s and other music, etc. that wasn’t purchased off of iTunes. So you can’t really call it a laptop replacement (and Apple doesn’t really want to, either). If you had a desktop system and no laptop, this might be appealing - it is lightweight and has long battery life, but text entry is cumbersome if anything other than “casual.” So a data-tethered pseudo-laptop. Would this work for students during the day? eBooks yay, note taking with a keyboard dock.
All that said - this device looks darn easy to use and figure out. For a lot of people, the sit ‘n flick usability of it will open up a lot of doors. I can see this being a device seniors can figure out better on their own, and not even bother getting a “proper” computer.
OK, so for people like you and me - media professionals - how does it stack up?
It isn’t a laptop relacement - other than emails and chat when connected, it doesn’t replace any of the pro apps we use. It doesn’t have expandable storage, and won’t read any source media format - only processed compressed ones.
What about for presentations? If you can’t all gather around the screen, it’ll only drive 1024x768, and that only over VGA. What about video? Only standard def - and only composite, the lowest quality of SD connections. Connect a DVD over composite sometime and cry when you see how bad it looks.
How about for viewing video directly? The screen is 1024x768 - amazing for a phone, weak for a laptop. It is also 4:3, not 16:9, which is the size most of us are creating for (at least I am). Video quality is also somewhat capped - 720p at about 5 megabits for video, but at least, unlike AppleTV, it can go up to 30fps. At H.264 ONLY, MP4 has lower datarates and frame sizes.
If you have a desktop, don’t need any professional apps, and just want to stay connected and have an entertainment device, it is decent, and surely eye catching. Flip case looks to be MANDATORY for practical transpo, and the keyboard dock for any real data entry - how much RSI damage from wrist hovering over the touchscreen? How much neckstrain from hunching over? See here for Gizmodo’s excellent (and spot-on, considering pre-release!) analysis of different ways of holding/utilizing this thing. Keep in mind we only have the standard keyboard onscreen, not their interesting alternatives.
But this inbetween-ness thing is what bugs me - it is nice, nifty, cool, flashy, potentially useful, but doesn’t replace the laptop. More importantly, IT DOESN’T FIT IN MY POCKET. Anything bigger than pocket sized requires carrying in your hand or in a bag. Since it is delicate, it needs some protection as well. If I’m already carrying a bag, the difference between a MacBook and this is about 3 1/2 to 4 pounds. Yeah, that is definitely lighter, but if I’m carrying something over my shoulder, is it that big of a deal? Especially since as a media professional, so far I’ve found I HAVE to have a fully featured notebook - a tablet wouldn’t suffice if I had any “real” work to do.
My Macbook and iPhone are aspirin, iPad is a vitamin
A story - I went to seminar during the dotcom boom, and a VC (venture capital) guy was talking about travelling. You fly somewhere, check into a nice hotel. You have a headache, probably from dehydration on the plane. You go down to the little gift shop in the hotel, and hooray! They have aspirin. For about $9 a pill. God dammit, what a ripoff! But you buy it - because you NEED it. You gotta make the pain go away. You will notice, he said, that they don’t offer vitamins in this store. Because they couldn’t charge $9 a pill. Because vitamins are nice - you should take them, they are good for you, your life will improve, you’ll live longer, etc. BUT…you don’t HAVE to have them RIGHT NOW. Aspirin is a must have. Vitamins are a “that would be nice.” but they are gravy, to (purposefully) mangle his metaphor. He then continued to say VC was only interested in investing in aspirin companies, not vitamin companies - because that was where the real money was made. The iPad is a vitamin. A MacBook or an iPhone is an aspirin.
Also - the touch interface - on a phone, it was MANDATORY to get more usability - it is incredibly freeing. Why? Because there was no ROOM for control devices - a mouse, a trackpad, two buttons etc. The gravy of pinch/zoom, etc., is slick and nice, but we HAD to have touchscreen to get any power on a phone sized device. OK, that’s GREAT. Now, scale it up to this tablet size - uh, OK. There’s room for some controls once you get into roughly this device size. YES, you can dedicate the entire surface to screen, and that is cool. but put a folding lid on it (adds what, maybe a pound?) and suddenly you have a full sized, dedicated keyboard, and a trackpad and buttons to boot. Maybe make it fold/swivel to tuck/hide around back so it’ll run full-on tablet style. Nah, too messy, not Apple Clean, so won’t happen. So at this size, touch is definitely cool, definitely useful, definitely optimal use of hardware real estate….but not ESSENTIAL. And I think that’ll be part of the downfall of this device. So to continue the above analogy, touch on a phone is aspirin, touch on a tablet is a vitamin.
I think this will be the next in line of Apple’s marginal products - I think it’ll do better than the Cube and AppleTV, but this is no Second Coming of the iPhone, which was the Second Coming of the iPod, which was the Second Coming of the iMac, which was the Second Coming of Apple (arguably). Apple, in order to sustain it’s meteoric growth, needs to come out with a Jesus Product every few years. But I don’t think this is it.
Maybe I’ll change my mind when I play with one (in about 2 months).
To Be Determined.
-mike
See previous article (linked at beginning of article) about my ownership of Apple products and Apple stock, if that concerns you.
UPDATE
WAIT! You never really answered who it is good for!
Oops, you’re right - because I’m not really sure. Desktop owners who don’t want a laptop? iPhone app freaks who want more screen without weight of a laptop? Gadgeteers with disposable income? I think this one smells like the Cube - cool, but overpriced for what it DOES. What it does is really cool, but they need to find new things to do with a touchscreen that are cooler than this. An always on pervasive 4G/LTE model with camera and Back To My Mac would fit that bill for me.
Thinking on this some more - what does this do I can’t do elsewhere? Lets look at their own feature list, from here -
Safari - got it on Macbook and iPhone. Touch interface IS nice, tapping to zoom is better than the laptop. Bigger screen on laptop is more convenient than tablet. Bigger screen on tablet more convenient than iPhone. But I can access info from either. The data plan on the 3G models is nice, and better than the Macbook can do if out of WiFi range. But I can buy a data dongle, and even over a year it is still cheaper than buying a tablet (although that makes an interesting proposition - and yo, AT&T! If we can data plan on iPad for 250GB a month for $15, where the hell is our promised iPhone tethering you said we’d have in 2009!!!). In any case, iPad=vitamin on this one. A tie and sometime winner arguably. But oh yeah - apparently NO FLASH. Oops. Lose.
Mail - READING of mail looks to be best on iPad - very elegant UI. But WRITING? I’d need a real keyboard to do any serious missives. The keyboard dock (hello, price? $99 to $129 probably! Apple accessories are always high margin) would be mandatory. Mail on iPhone? Marginal for reading but it works, is very inefficient for anything but quicky few line replies. Don’t lay out your corporate strategy on one. Vitamin at best - laptop still best for this task.
Photos - the touchscreen interface is VERY nice for viewing, browsing, zooming, so it almost gets the win for the iPad. But you can’t import, edit, manipulate, etc - it is strictly a viewer. My laptop screen is bigger and higher resolution as well. iPhone is way behind the others on this. But still, vitamin compared to laptop.
Video - haven’t seen the screen so can’t definitely say, but it is an inbetween device on this count as well from what I can tell - not as big or high res as the laptop. Already have a store available over WiFi. iPad=Vitamin
YouTube - same thing as video. Streaming 3G is a bump though over a laptop. Hmm - conspiracy theory - is iPhone tethering back burnered in order to support iPad data?
iPod - touchscreen for iPod functionality ROCKS. I’d say iPad is best for iPod media delivery (barring HD video, of course). Better than iPod for access, screen size for video. Oh, wait, it doesn’t fit in my pocket, which was the whole point of an iPod vs. lugging a laptop around. Lose. Vitamin.
iTunes - as good (perhaps better?) interface than the software iTunes. But still, Vitamin!
App Store - we have this on the other devices. I imagine overall this could be nicer environment for browsing/selecting than a laptop. But still - vitamin!
iBooks - at last, our first potential aspirin! Content producers are desperate to get away from the straightforward web for two reasons:
1.) non-DRMable environment on open devices that the DRM is readily hackable anyway
2.) people have a gut level expectation that anything in a web browser=ought to be free
This gives content creators (newspapers, magazines, books, video/movies) a playground where they can SAY it is new. The electronic media world NEEDS to be on a pay-for-play basis - advertising CLEARLY has not evolved online sufficiently to support advertising only supported high end content creation. Network TV did it because of ubiquity (everybody had it) and limited choices (only 3-5 channels until cable TV arrived). The advantage is with advertisers now - lots of places to advertise, and doesn’t cost much. So magazines and newspapers DESPERATELY want to get away from giving away their content online only supported by marginal ad revenue. They think they can solve their problem in this new playpen.
Oh, and throw in book publishers, including textbooks, into this pile. (don’t you think e-textbooks would be one of the most hotly bootlegged types of content?)
IF exclusive deals are cut, this is the biggest potential market so far - Apple wasn’t accidental in pointing out how many tens of millions of people already understand the UI (from iPod Touch and iPhones), Apple already has a relationship with them AND THEIR CREDIT CARD with the iTunes Store, and the device cost is about double that of a Kindle…but with a rich full motion color screen, games, email, web, etc. etc. etc.
So if If IF exclusive deals can be cut (we heard about the TV network deal getting shot down for a cable replacement for Apple), THEN this becomes the first place where you can get content you can’t on iPhone/Mac/PC/AppleTV/set top box.
But wait….why should it be? From a consumer standpoint, I’d love it if I could access all these kinds of materials on my Mac or PC desktop or laptop, or my iPhone, or my AppleTV. The ONLY reason we can’t? Content producers don’t trust us, in aggregate (and sometimes with good reason). Who was it - O’Reilly started selling their ebooks without DRM and sales still doubled year over year over year? Maybe that is a lesson to be learned. So in this one instance, this is a potential aspirin win, even though from a consumer standpoint, it shouldn’t be. Much like HD movie rentals only on AppleTV.
End of rant on that one.
Oh and hey….I never heard Text-To-Speech capabilities, did you?
Maps - yep, they’ll rock, especially with the super-smooth UI response. Get me an iPad specific turn-by-turn, announced streets, giant touchscreen version, and this’ll be the best nav system EVER. Presuming you either download the entire map (should be an option!) or have a 3G model and 3G plan and actual 3G network availability. But again - best of breed is only aspirin for some - a vitamin for the rest of us - I’m quite satisfied with my iPhone’s default nav, even in tough to get around Los Angeles.EDIT - NO IT WON’T - NO GPS!!! Yep - Assisted GPS (Wi-Fi + 3G model) - no real GPS, whatsoever. So maps is maps, not GPS. Blammo!
Notes - vitamin, exactly between iPhone and laptop
Calendar - in realistic use, probably better than laptop for speed and ease. Better than iPhone for sure - but still - vitamin!
Contacts - same as above - vitamin - at least equal functionality to the laptop but at 1/3 or less the weight.
Home Screen - akin to Dock in OS X. Umm….slight nod to the iPad, since touching easier than mouse/click. But no OS X apps? Bummer. Vitamin again.
Spotlight - vitamin - feature match, with less format support
Advanced? Hell yes. Good price for what it is? Yes/does. Do I want one? Kinda barely - don’t want to lug it around. Will I get one? I don’t think so.
Also, the financial factor - I paid $600 for my 8GB iPhone (1st gen) - and at the time, was happy to do so. I was upgrading from an ancient dumb phone - I could, um, dial, call up contacts, send texts (painfully on non-QWERTY keyboard) and play Q-Bert. That was it. I graduated to an ever present (if slow) cellular data network, the ability to email and surf the web over WiFi when available, play video and audio better than any of my previous four iPods, eventually got more Apps, it was great. I skipped the iPhone 3G, and waited for my contract to end and then got the 3GS. Love. It. But the iPad is too much inbetween that and a laptop, with not enough reason to get it - you get a phone cause ya gotsta have one nowadays, so throw in all the other goodies too - delicious vitamins. Sometimes ya gotsta work away from the office - so you need a laptop if more than casual mail writing and simple browsing. And I wouldn’t want to poke around a spreadsheet or do graphic layout with a touch display - way too inaccurate!
Its the economy, stupid - in 2007 things were upbeat and bright. 600 bucks for a phone? Yeah, that’s a lot, but it IS a cool toy, and does things I couldn’t before. Nowadays? In this economy? From a market wide perspective (on the scale of enough to affect Apple stock valuation) even if folks had $600 laying around for new gadgetry, this would be in LIEU of a MacBook, not IN ADDITION for most purchasers, I’d think. The same way the higher functionality iPhone has been eating into iPod sales (which Apple is cool with), I think iPad will do the same to MacBooks.
Now? I look at all the functionality I’d get from a iPad, vs my iPhone and MacBook, and I gotta say…no thanks. Not this go-round. Touch is great - mandatory on a phone now, bonus (vitamin!) on a laptop sized device. The low weight and long battery life are nice, but the lack of dedicated, convenient keyboard (am I really going to balance the keyboard dock on my lap at a conference taking notes? Nope! Tipover city!), small, low res screen makes me say…feh. Not enough. If I DIDN’T have a laptop and iPhone, I’d certainly think about it.
So What Would It Take To Make Me Buy One?
A random list of things I’d want:
Camera - front and back, with a WiFi video calling app. Not that this is a make-me-buy-it feature, but it’d be cool and easy to add.
Hello, VOIP app? Anyone? Anyone? Bueller, you there?
Back To My Mac linkage somehow over MobileMe - let me get my stuff
Lower price - start at $300. Regardless of technical feasibility, that’s my comfort level to consider it - and at 16GB, that’s half the storage in my iPhone - ugh
Higher resolution - even the e-ink Kindle has higher res on a smaller screen - if gonna be an e-book, GOTSTA have tight, small pixels!
For Reals GPS - yep, this one doesn’t have it, amazingly - therefore yeah “Most” iPhone apps will run, but location aware ones will be troubled at best
Make the iBook stuff work on everything else I have, too - no exclusivity - same for all other content
Faster data! LTE/4G for $30/month, and I’ll THINK about it (see previous article about data connections - add up your cable bill, broadband bill, Netflix bill, land and cellphone bill, etc. to see how much you pay for bit delivery each month).
Apple keeps calling this “magical” - Steve did it repeatedly onstage, and it is repeated in the video available here. I don’t think so. I think it is cool, excellent tech built on their previous outstanding iPhone work, but it is jut a logical extension - extending an iPhone TOWARDS a laptop without reaching that far. And I don’t think that is magical. I think it is interesting, powerful, useful, impressive, groundbreaking, speedy, responsive, state-of-the-art, and other flowery praiseful words and whatnot. But it is distinctly, IMHO, NOT magical. iPhone had that magically glitter. This does not. And as of now, I ain’t buyin’ one.
Paraphrasing something I just wrote in a comment -
Again, this thing needs to be able to boldly stab a stake in the ground and proudly roar “I can do this better than anyone!” and totally kick butt at it.
It hasn’t done that yet.
Not that it CAN’T, just that it hasn’t YET, to my observation.
Segway 2010, indeed. iPad, you can display any color, but you are a Ginger at heart.
UPDATED 4PM
All that said, the future possibilites of using this for video stuff are interesting - as pointed out in the comments, viewing dailies on set (if something else compresses the footage, like a Codex box), showing clients stuff, having a review application, using it as a control surface, the best damn smart slate ever, metadata entry/capture, etc. are all there, just waiting to be done. But for now…we wait.
-mike
Pre-launch thoughts here:
http://provideocoalition.com/index.php/mcurtis/story/apple_islatesegway_2010/
Follow up thoughts here:
http://provideocoalition.com/index.php/mcurtis/story/ipad_follow_uo_thoughts_thoughts_on_v2_hardware_and_v15_software/
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I think you nailed it, Mike. I just don’t see a huge market for this device and it certainly isn’t revolutionary. After ten years of developement and anticipation, it seems a little underwhelming. I was kind of hoping this would be the first foray into a speech based interface and would spur others to follow. Both Steve Jobs and Bill Gates have said that speech based interfaces are the wave of the future. This might be the time that Microsoft takes the lead - a fully featured tablet that you can talk to and a real laptop replacement. Now that would be revolutionary and something I think everyone is waiting for. This could be another Apple Newton.
Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 01/27 at 03:48 PM
Yeah, but not that bad - this one looks like it actually works and does useful stuff. The trick is, lots of other devices do the same trick. Once too big for a pocket, I expect a LOT of functionality.
How about a flippable Macbook Air with touch? THAT I would think about for a next device.
The Cube worked, just wasn’t powerful enough for the price - this doesn’t have that problem. It is way cool, does what it says it does, but is just so damn awkward in terms of usage positioning, both market-wise and literally - typing on this thing a pain, and too inbetween laptop and iPhone. I don’t NEED something between those!
Posted by Mike Curtis on 01/27 at 04:36 PM
Really good analysis as always, Mike. Appreciate you putting all that thought into this announcement. Here’s a few thoughts of my own…
1. App Store developers have the potential to make this the next killer device. Think multitouch Color or FCP interface, my timeline with clips in front of me that I can literally cut things like a an old-fashioned Steenbeck. Or Color / Colorista / MBLooks sliders and dials. Stu has already publically stated MBLooks integration interest on Twitter. Yummy.
2. Jailbreak is mandatory for power users. When this device is jailbroken (within 20 days from the iPad ship date, max), you’ll get background apps and processes just like Backgrounder for the iPhone (Backgrounder is essential on the iPhone). You’ll get filesystem access via tools like the iPhone’s iFile app. You’ll get tethering (I tether all the time with my iPhone and MBP).
3. With an iPad, I’d never use my MBP on the couch again. It would completely replace that area of usage for me and my wife. It’d also be my son’s media player of choice on long trips. I hate DVDs, I’d much rather drop an H.264 on the iPad and rock with that.
4. Daytimer Client meetings. Notes/Calendar/Sketches/Storyboarding. Not to mention that this looks to be damn sweet for showing your reel to a prospective client. Or a current draft. Pass it around the room. Add a really creative client review/annotation app, and it would be even cooler. Pause video, highlight an area of the screen, make a revision note, the app saves this info for review back at the studio. It’s usable out of the box for client review, but once again, developers can really make it amazing.
Finally, one minor nitpick. There’s an SD card adapter accessory, so that assumedly means that you can import photos/media directly into the device. I think that we’ll also see new bluetooth connected accessories that will provide additional ingest/output options for the iPad.
My feeling is that yes, it is a slightly niche product. Certainly not as wide a market as the iPhone or iPod. But I believe that it’ll gain a lot more traction than we’re expecting. Apple has breathed new life into tablets, and the iPad is here to stay.
Matt Jeppsen
FreshDV
Posted by Matt Jeppsen on 01/27 at 04:46 PM
Matt - detailed feedback ALWAYS appreciated! I see the usages you posit, but in my economic conservatism, I keep saying to myself “Laptop can do it” for a lot of those.
Control surfaces on the other hand - HELLZ YEAH! I’d love to see that, but that might get into jailbreak territory.
Apple breathing new life into tablets is a bit like saying Ford breathing new life into senior citizen groundsrunner/golf cart market. Eh…yeah….
-mike
Posted by Mike Curtis on 01/27 at 04:54 PM
Thanks for the shout-out, Mike. I’d LOVE to be able to justify this based on eTextbooks, but the screen res is just too low for a high-quality reader. 1024x768? Are you kidding? The Kindle’s resolution is 1200x824, on a MUCH smaller screen. Ugh.
And BTW, now that I think about it, the iPad is LESS FUNCTIONAL THAN MY PHONE.
MY PHONE!!
No GPS, no camera, screen res too low to be a book reader, device too big to be anything else other than a nice digital picture frame.
Disappointed.
-c
Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 01/27 at 04:56 PM
@Charlie, there is a GPS in the $629 and up models. Not in the $499 wifi-only model.
@Mike, yep, Apple is breathing new life into tablets. My opinion is that all previous tablet devices have attempted to just duplicate the laptop computer experience. There was nothing revolutionary about the interface. That’s why we only see tablets in niche applications like healthcare, but meanwhile netbooks seem to be thriving.
The iPad will succeed because Apple is making it an appliance. The (overly) simple iPhone app layout, the concept of touch and a single Home button. And they’ll succeed because they aren’t pricing it to the lowest common denominator, they are selling it to users who care about the experience, who cherish simplicity and reliability over endless options and expandability. Your average PC power user or unix hacker will not buy this tablet, in fact they’ll mock it relentlessly. Apple doesn’t care, that’s not the market they are chasing.
What’s weird about this device is that it’s powerful enough that I want it, but simple enough that I could give this to my grandma. That’s pretty damn cool.
Matt Jeppsen
FreshDV
Posted by Matt Jeppsen on 01/27 at 05:17 PM
Matt - nope, no GPS! The fine print:
Location
Wi-Fi
Digital compass
Assisted GPS (Wi-Fi + 3G model)
Cellular (Wi-Fi + 3G model)
Assisted GPS does not equal true GPS - I think this is the same tech used in iPhone 1.0, no? Somebody tell me fo sho!
As an appliance - good point. I think they’ll sell a decent but not outstanding number of these - it isn’t the next iPhone in terms of pushing stock up. AAPL is 208-ish right now, under 200 by Monday?
Posted by Mike Curtis on 01/27 at 05:24 PM
Yeah, it’s a great “appliance.” Maybe it could serve as a coffee coaster. Wait for HP’s new tablet to premier, it’ll blow the iPad out of the market except for Apple die hards. Why does everyone make such a big deal about the touch interface? It’s been around for quite some time and makes sense on smaller devices where real estate is limited. As usual, Apple is making sure that it’s proprietory enough to insure that they get your cash up front and on the backside. I’ve never been a fan of Apple’s computers but the iPhone was genius. The iPad is just the new Newton - a joke.
Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 01/27 at 08:05 PM
A-GPS is the tech used in the iPhone 3G and 3GS. It’s not quite as accurate as a proper GPS system (see http://tinyurl.com/yc7gr6s ) but it’s perfectly acceptable for consumer applications and most location based services. I don’t know about you, but my iPhone 3GS is my GPS and turn by turn navigation device. You should expect the same level of performance from the iPad, I’d imagine.
-Matt
Posted by Matt Jeppsen on 01/27 at 08:09 PM
@Brett802 Funny, I recall the Newton having a cult following. New tablets may surpass the iPad in terms of performance and price, but that’s no guarantee of success. It’s about execution and the user experience. And like them or not, Apple has that user figured out.
Exhibit A: A number of powerful phones have come out that out-spec the iPhone in various ways, and they have yet to establish the same foothold on the market. I’d be shocked, SHOCKED, if HP delivered a tablet that bests the iPad in user experience. Apple doesn’t compete for the low end, HP does.
-Matt
Posted by Matt Jeppsen on 01/27 at 08:17 PM
I’m all up for an iPad first and foremost because I don’t have a laptop and don’t want to lug a big, heavy one around. If an iPod Touch had keyboard connectivity I would have had that long ago. Now I can with a bigger device. It surfs the web, does email, watches video and will let me access Google docs with a keyboard. It’s all I need in a portable device.
As for post-production: I once did a small edit with a Wacom Cintiq ... it was amazingly fun. I often sit at the back of my edit suite and control FCP playback with my iPhone for reviews and screenings. If I could get somewhere between that with an iPad then it will be a magic device for post. App developers! Get to work!!!
Posted by Scott Simmons on 01/27 at 09:32 PM
Hi Matt, I agree with the ease of interface point and I like Newton, figs and gravity and all (ha). I just think that by not porting their OSX into the iPad, it’s fatally flawed for serious users. If I was to buy an Apple, I’d go for a Mac Book Pro. The difference in price wouldn’t be an issue since it can do so much more. And I still want my voice recognition interface in my life time from someone (anyone please). “Copy layer one, paste at time indicator.” That would be fun.
Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 01/28 at 12:25 AM
That would be fun. OSX’s speech recognition oughta handle that. Just need to define a few custom keystroke commands with Automator and make them available to in the Speakable Items folder. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speakable_items
-Matt
Posted by Matt Jeppsen on 01/28 at 12:55 AM
I think the IPad will indeed fit into many peoples lifestyle and personally I don’t really care about the lack of some mentioned features that are not or not yet implemented in the device.
As a media professional I’m always carrying this bag with my 15inchMBP inside. I throw it over my shoulder when I leave home, take it to the company I work with, where I sometimes do some serious work with my notebook. After work the MBP goes back to my home, it stands on my kitchen table, it sits on my sofa, sometimes it even lies in my bed. The cable often gets on my nerves.
I don’t need the horsepower that helps me making animations or editing for tv, I don’t need the bundle of applications you have when you have to edit, encode etc, I don’t need all this stuff when I’m at home where I want to browse the net, check my mails and read newspapers and so on. Wouldn’t it be nice to do this kind of stuff with a device as large as a magazine? The IPad primarily will be a home device!
Besides other possible advantages it might have the IPad for me would mean: I can draw a line between work and home. And I’m sure there are lots of other people who would love to sit on the couch with something else than their daily workhorsenotebook. Who needs GPS at home?
Sven
Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 01/28 at 03:53 PM
I see your point Sven, but why be limited by an iPad? MSI’s tablet was just announced today and HP’s will be out soon. They both offer the same form factor and much more functionality for the same price. There are even netbooks that are small and offer full functional OS’s for much less cost. I think the iPad is more aimed at people who are a bit computer phobic. I draw the line between work and home in my mind. When I decide it’s time to relax, I just refuse to work on any work related projects. I certainly don’t want to cruise the internet and miss out on some content because my device of choice isn’t Flash enabled. Some of my favorite sites would be pretty dull without that functionality. HTLM 5 will make Flash redundant at some point down the road, but websites will be slow to adopt the new format. I guess my point is why lose all the functionality of a computer simply for a state of mind. If the iPad were say half the price, it might find a much wider audience.
Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 01/28 at 04:58 PM
I don’t want to get too deeply into this, but there a few misassumptions - or new developments - that need clarifying. For instance, talking about no way to get photos onto the advice - well, no - Apple had already announced a kit that would let you connect a USB device or memory card reader. And people had already been talking about how apparently a shared folder pops up when you connect it to a PC/Mac, and this article backs that up:
http://www.appleinsider.com/articles/10/01/29/apple_to_target_ipad_at_business_users_through_new_features_sources.html
Plus, there’s all this hypothetical talk about maybe getting files off of MobileMe - when the iDisk and MobileMe apps already exist and work on the iPad. (Same thing with the Kindle app Mike mentioned. “Will” there be a Kindle app? There already is, if all iPhone apps work! just load the current one up from iTunes. Apple already said you don’t have to buy a new version of any of your apps.)
All I’m saying is that, right now, this sort of analysis is 60 days too early. Even with the caveat of “right now,” there’s still a conclusion made in a vacuum of information - even information that’s already out there - and that’s the worst kind of conclusion to make. I don’t want to be argumentative, but I kinda want to see the speculation train pull to the side until we can really look at the thing.
Does that mean I’m getting one? Without a camera for iChat, no, probably not this generation. But I also know that I can’t even really hazard a guess of what it is until I get one in my grubby hands.
Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) on 01/29 at 11:11 AM
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